For the past two days the number of new COVID-19 cases reported in the rest of the world have exceeded the new cases reported in China. This comes as countries in Europe face epidemics and President Trump appointed Vice President Pence to lead the US response to the outbreak.
If the virus spreads with an R0 of 2.6+, has a doubling time of 2 days, and requires IC care for 20% of those infected, the healthcare systems will collapse. For example, consider California. With those numbers, and assuming there were 15 unknown people in the state currently infected, the state would run out of IC hospital beds (IC beds being around 12% of total hospital beds) mid May. So expect to see states implement martial law where voluntary measures fail to curb the spread being of the virus to levels manageable by the health care systems. In a different instance, South Korea has such a high infection rate currently, that if it cannot substantially slow the viruses spread, it will have more people in serious/critical condition than it has hospital beds total by the latter half of April.
If it spreads like SARS in that temperatures above 70 degrees seem to reduce it's capacity to spread, then hotter regions may fate better than cooler ones. Singapore, Thailand, Australia, and Macau all have declining numbers of currently infected even though they started with substantial outbreaks. And at least for now, the growth rate in Hong Kong seems manageable. All of those nations are warm now.
That would be great news, but only the CCP would really know. There's just too much conflicting information regarding the actual case numbers in China and too many incentives to both cover-up or exaggerate those numbers.
I would say the concensus is the numbers from China are under-reported. But whether that means the spread is slowing down or continuing mostly unabated is hard to tell. For Wuhan, the Imperial College modelers believe Wuhan hit its peak. So maybe at least for Wuhan the concensus would be the rate of infection is falling.